2020 Election: What Will The Outcome Be?

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Elections are something that make America special and the 2020 election is gearing up. What's going on with that?

Sonya S. Smith, Guest Writer

President Donald Trump is someone who has generated a lot of controversies, and in a way, has split our nation in two. Theoretically, there are two kinds of people in the United States: those who support Trump, and those who don’t.

As has already been seen, President Donald Trump (henceforth referred to as Pres. Trump) is running for reelection. Eighteen Democrats are running for election, and three Republicans, other than Pres. Trump, are running as well. Altogether, that makes twenty-two candidates for the 2020 election[i], and twenty-seven Democrats who sought candidacy[ii].

Of course, with Pres. Trump’s term being as heated as it is, people are wondering whether or not he will win a second term.

Oliver DeMille, of www.oliverdemille.com, offers an analysis:

“… none of the current candidates on the Democrat side seem to possess the ability to effectively inspire broad popular support. One may eventually rise to the top, of course, but it seems it’s going to take a new person with a new charisma, not one of the old names like Biden, Bernie, or Warren. But so far none of the [new faces] have gained any major traction …

“… one name does strike fear into the hearts of many Trump supporters: Michele Obama. To date, she’s strongly denied any interest in running for the Oval Office. But her numbers would likely skyrocket to the top of the ticket if she announced …

“… perhaps the biggest challenge to Trump in 2020 could come from Jerome Powell. As chairman of the Federal Reserve, he and his colleagues could push interest and inflation rates in directions that would significantly dampen the U.S. economy, throwing a major wrench into Trump’s top accomplishment and the core of his support. This is seldom, if ever, mentioned in the media, but it remains a significant possibility …

“ … a[nother] considerable problem for Trump could come from the success of Republican economic policies at the state level. Specifically, no Republican can win the presidency in the current system unless they win both Florida and Texas, but state-level Republican leaders and their pro-growth, low-regulation policies have attracted a lot of businesses and people relocating to these states. The challenge for Trump, and Republicans running for Congress, is that a preponderance of those moving into Florida and Texas vote liberal, not conservative. Trump beat Hillary in Florida in 2016 by just 112,911 votes, and over a million new people have moved to the Sunshine State since then, with over a million more expected by the 2020 election.

“The same is true with Texas—Trump won by a more convincing 807,179 votes, but Texas has grown by 1.2 million since 2016 and is projected to grow by a total of approximately 2.3 million by election day 2020 (with about a quarter of these voters moving from California). This significantly changes the makeup of the electorate. Again, more than a mere majority of those relocating to Florida and Texas tend to vote liberal.[iii]”

Whether or not you are unaffiliated, Republican, Democrat, Liberal, Conservative, a staunchly devoted follower or a rather indifferent citizen, old enough to vote, or still too young to do anything other than watch the 2020 election is definitely going to be interesting.

[i] https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_candidates,_2020

[ii]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election

[iii] https://oliverdemille.com/2019/08/news-of-the-day-election-2020/